[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"skill-ae50b069-3ecb-4f49-801e-7863c536e2c0":3,"$fX7g9niuAEgasicHPmgxQWYFcBwIT_uTRzh-xgpUw6zU":43},{"id":4,"title":5,"description":6,"categoryId":7,"moduleId":8,"tags":9,"prompt":10,"icon":11,"source":12,"sourceUrl":13,"authorId":14,"authorName":15,"isPublic":16,"stars":17,"runs":18,"createdAt":19,"updatedAt":19,"module":20,"category":27,"packages":34},"ae50b069-3ecb-4f49-801e-7863c536e2c0","options-flow-analyzer","实值与彩票期权P\u002FC比率分析中的分离——防止深度虚值噪声导致的信号反转","cat_life_career","mod_other","sickn33,other","---\nname: options-flow-analyzer\ndescription: Real vs lottery call separation for options P\u002FC ratio analysis — prevents signal inversion from deep OTM noise\ncategory: finance\nrisk: safe\nsource: community\nsource_type: community\ndate_added: \"2026-05-13\"\nauthor: tellmefrankie\ntags: [options, sentiment-analysis, trading, polygon, market-analysis]\ntools: [websearch]\n---\n# Options Flow Analyzer\n\nAnalyze options chain data with real vs lottery call separation — the key insight that prevents P\u002FC ratio misinterpretation. Uses Polygon.io API.\n\n## When to Use\n\n- Use when raw put\u002Fcall ratios appear bullish or bearish but may be distorted by cheap deep OTM contracts.\n- Use when comparing options flow across watchlists, holdings, sectors, or event-driven names.\n- Use when you need to separate institutional hedging from speculative lottery-ticket activity.\n- Use when tracking options anomalies against a recent baseline.\n\n## What it does\n\nStandard P\u002FC ratio analysis is misleading. A P\u002FC of 0.35 looks \"extremely bullish\" but may be 84% lottery calls ($0.01-$0.09 OTM options).\n\nThis skill separates:\n- **Real calls**: Strike price within 5% of stock price, meaningful premium\n- **Lottery calls**: Deep OTM, cheap premium, speculative bets\n- **Real puts**: Actual hedging activity\n- **Lottery puts**: Cheap downside bets\n\n## Analysis Output\n\nFor each ticker:\n- Real P\u002FC ratio (excludes lottery noise)\n- Lottery percentage (what % of volume is speculation)\n- Per-expiry breakdown (weekly vs monthly vs LEAPS)\n- Anomaly detection: P\u002FC shifts >0.3, Call OI surges >30%, IV spikes >20%\n- Sentiment classification: Bullish\u002FBearish\u002FNeutral with confidence\n\n## Example Output\n\n```\nOptions Flow Summary — 2026-05-13\n\nHOLDINGS:\nCEG  $299.69 | Raw P\u002FC: 1.06 | Lottery: 61% | Adj P\u002FC: 2.72  BEARISH (was neutral raw)\nIREN $55.15  | Raw P\u002FC: 0.83 | Lottery: 34% | Adj P\u002FC: 0.55  BULLISH\nKTOS $56.99  | Raw P\u002FC: 0.53 | Lottery: 28% | Adj P\u002FC: 0.38  EXTREME BULLISH\nRXRX $3.26   | Raw P\u002FC: 0.38 | Lottery: 84% | Adj P\u002FC: 2.37  BEARISH (was extreme bullish raw)\n\nSECTORS:\nXLI  | Raw P\u002FC: 5.32 | Lottery:  8% | Adj P\u002FC: 4.89  INSTITUTIONAL HEDGE\n\nANOMALIES:\nXLI: P\u002FC 5.32 vs 30-day baseline 0.87 — 4.5 std deviations above normal\nRXRX: 84% lottery calls — raw P\u002FC signal completely inverted after filtering\n```\n\n## Configuration\n\n```\nAnalyze options flow for my watchlist:\nHoldings: CEG, IREN, KTOS, RXRX, TEM\nSectors: SPY, QQQ, XLI, XLK\nSeparate real vs lottery calls (threshold: premium \u003C $0.10, delta \u003C 0.05).\nFlag anomalies vs 30-day baseline.\n```\n\n## Requirements\n\n- Polygon.io API key (free tier covers basic data; paid tier for full chain)\n- WebSearch for cross-verification\n\n## Limitations\n\n- Options data can be delayed, incomplete, or unavailable depending on the Polygon.io plan.\n- Heuristics such as premium and delta thresholds need adjustment for ticker price, volatility, and expiry.\n- Sentiment classifications are analytical signals, not financial advice or trade recommendations.\n- Always cross-check unusual flow against price action, news catalysts, liquidity, and risk controls.\n\n## Key Discovery\n\nThis real\u002Flottery separation was discovered during live portfolio management when RXRX showed P\u002FC 0.35 (looks extremely bullish) but was actually 84% lottery calls at $0.01-$0.09. The \"bullish signal\" was noise. This skill prevents that mistake.\n\n## Pricing\n\nFree: Basic P\u002FC ratio for 3 tickers\n**Full bundle — $29 one-time**: Real\u002Flottery separation + anomaly detection + per-expiry + unlimited tickers\n→ https:\u002F\u002Fjaehyunpark.gumroad.com\u002Fl\u002Ftcyahy\n\n## Author\n\nBuilt from a real trading mistake that cost money. The real\u002Flottery discovery is documented and battle-tested across 17 tickers over 2+ months.\n","","imported","https:\u002F\u002Fgithub.com\u002Fsickn33\u002Fantigravity-awesome-skills","user_system_seed","SkillOPIC",true,185,289,"2026-05-16 13:32:57",{"id":8,"name":21,"slug":22,"icon":23,"description":24,"sort":25,"createdAt":26},"其他","other","mdi-page-next-outline","其他类型Skill",5,"2026-05-16 12:53:40",{"id":7,"name":28,"slug":29,"icon":30,"description":31,"moduleId":8,"sort":32,"skillCount":33,"createdAt":26},"职场发展","career","mdi-briefcase-outline","面试准备、简历优化、职业规划",4,575,[35],{"id":36,"skillId":4,"version":37,"fileName":38,"fileSize":39,"filePath":40,"fileHash":41,"manifest":42,"createdAt":19},"96512560-a360-4f63-9fe9-2a56f5269fe2","1.0.0","options-flow-analyzer.zip",1980,"uploads\u002Fskills\u002Fae50b069-3ecb-4f49-801e-7863c536e2c0\u002Foptions-flow-analyzer.zip","3dbd2ee6f43533feddfdca634728a6081a90214b567ad7dd136ed93501404585","[{\"path\":\"SKILL.md\",\"isDirectory\":false,\"size\":3717}]",{"code":44,"message":45,"data":46},200,"success",{"items":47,"stats":48,"page":51},[],{"averageRating":49,"totalRatings":49,"ratingCounts":50},0,[49,49,49,49,49],{"limit":52,"offset":49,"hasMore":53,"nextOffset":52,"ratedOnly":16},15,false]